About the Bull & Bear Tracker
The Bull & Bear Tracker is a trend predictor algorithm developed by Michael Markowski who has a successful track record for developing high performance trading and investing algorithms.
The Bull & Bear Tracker monitors the global markets 24 hours per day to predict the direction of the S&P 500, the world’s most liquid and largest stock market index. When the Bull & Bear Tracker reads that the S&P 500 is headed higher its signal is green. When the market is headed lower its signal is red. The Bull & Bear Tracker is always in the market with either a green or red signal.
The Bull & Bear Tracker’s signals are utilized to trade exchange traded funds (ETFs) which mimic the performance of the S&P 500. A long ETF is utilized when the signal is green. A short or inverse ETF is utilized when the signal is red. When the S&P 500 advances by 10% while under a green signal the long ETF increases by 10%. Conversely, should the S&P 500 decline by 10% while a red signal is in effect the inverse ETF would increase by 10%.
The algorithm which powers the Bull & Bear Tracker was originally developed in 2016 to be a crash predictor. The markets had become extremely volatile in 2016 after the Bank of Japan announced that they would be utilizing negative interest rates. The only RED signal that the algorithm published during 2016 predicted the June 2016 Brexit Crash. Since negative interest rates subsided after Donald Trump was elected President the algorithm was moth balled. When the markets became more volatile in early 2018, the algorithm was taken out of retirement and converted into a trend trader. The first signal, a green was published on April 9, 2018.
The chart below graphs the performance of the Bull & Bear Tracker’s signals vs. the S&P 500 from April 9, 2018 to June 30, 2019.
Since inception all of the signals which incurred a loss of 2% or more were researched and back tested to improve the algorithm’s formula. The chart below depicts the performance of the back tested signals vs. the published signals and the S&P 500. See also “Bull & Bear Tracker track record report”, July 11, 2019